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From: TSS (216-119-134-159.ipset14.wt.net)
Subject: GAIN REPORTS SEPT. 2004 (BSE) FOR ARGENTINA, BULGARIA, PHILIPPINES, ROMANIA, BRAZIL, URUGUAY, AUSTRIA, CHINA AND KOREA
Date: September 24, 2004 at 10:50 am PST

-------- Original Message --------
Subject: GAIN REPORTS (BSE) FOR ARGENTINA, BULGARIA, PHILIPPINES, ROMANIA, BRAZIL, URUGUAY, AUSTRIA, CHINA AND KOREA
Date: Fri, 24 Sep 2004 12:21:03 -0500
From: "Terry S. Singeltary Sr."
Reply-To: Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy
To: BSE-L@UNI-KARLSRUHE.DE


Sep 2 2004 | Argentina | Annual
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Highlight: Argentine beef exports for 2005 are projected at 600,000
tons, the highest since 1980. This is a result of strong world demand,
an improved sanitary status, and good profitability. The United States,
the European Union, Russia, Chile and Venezuela are expected to be the
main markets. Beef output in 2005 is forecast to drop after the very
large slaughter in 2004.
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AR4043

http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200409/146107406.pdf


Sep 6 2004 | Bulgaria | Annual
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Highlight: In 2003 and 2004, Bulgaria continued to be a net importer of
pork and beef. Imports are forecast to increase in 2004 to meet the
demand, especially in the second half of the year. Currently, demand for
pork and high meat prices stimulate imports and encourage farmers to
keep their animals in an effort to restore animal numbers which declined
as a result of the feed shortage in 2003/2004, especially in the pork
sector. The U.S. export opportunities are favorable, both for beef,
including high quality beef steaks; and for pork, mainly for processing.
Bulgaria allows entry of U.S meats and no additional import requirements
are likely before the accession in the EU by 2007.
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BU4006

http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200409/146107395.pdf


Sep 6 2004 | Philippines | Annual
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Highlight: The Philippine livestock industry grew by about 3 percent in
2003, with the swine sector, as the major contributor, growing by 4
percent. Due to strong domestic consumption of pork, hog production will
likely continue to grow at a similar rate in 2004. The growth of the
cattle industry will likely remain flat in 2004 due to a decline in live
cattle imports and a stagnation in calf production. Domestic prices of
pork and beef are forecast to remain high in the near term mainly as a
result of increased feed costs. After a sharp decline in US beef exports
to the Philippines immediately following the US BSE case, imports of US
beef rebounded in March of this year. US data show that the export value
of US beef to the Philippines was higher in April 2004 than for the same
period last year.
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RP4042 | View the Acrobat version
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http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200409/146107389.pdf

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Sep 3 2004 | Romania | Annual
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Highlight: Swine inventories in 2004 have slightly diminished compared
to the previous year, after the very severe drought in the summer of
2003, which dramatically raised feed prices. Although live cattle are a
major agricultural export item of Romania, the country remains a net
importer for both beef and pork, including from US. The current
production subsidies are anticipated to result in some recovery of the
livestock sector in 2005, evolution to which the upward trend in
consumption prices is also contributing.
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RO4014 | View the Acrobat version
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http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200408/146107385.pdf
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Sep 3 2004 | Brazil | Annual
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Highlight: Beef and pork production are projected to increase in 2005
reflecting higher domestic demand due to improved economic conditions. A
lower unemployment rate and higher per capita disposable income are
expected to stimulate demand for animal protein. Beef exports will
continue to increase at significant rates, while pork exports will
likely recover next year.
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BR4619 | View the Acrobat version
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http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200408/146107381.pdf
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Sep 2 2004 | Uruguay | Annual Report
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Highlight: Uruguay´s beef exports in 2005 are expected to increase from
360,000 to 400,000 metric tons (MT) due to stronger demand from export
markets. Foot-and-Mouth Disease (FMD) is under control throughout the
country, with over 80 markets reopened to fresh boneless beef, including
the United States (U.S.) and Canada. Cattle exports are forecast to
increase in 2005 as markets continue to reopen. Cattle stocks are
expected to return to the historical levels seen prior to the FMD
crisis, as calf crop will be nearly equal to slaughter plus losses.
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UY4003 | View the Acrobat version
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http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200408/146107361.pdf
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Sep 1 2004 | Austria | Voluntary
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Highlight: In 2003, Austria's bull, steer, cow and heifer stock was 1
percent above the previous year. The calf stock was 3 percent below
2002. Slaughter cattle totaled 684,951 head, a 3 percent drop. Total
production of beef and veal amounted to 200,000 MT with domestic
consumption reaching 155,000 MT. In 2003, Austria's opening swine stock
was 1 percent above the previous year. Slaughter hogs totaled 5,310
thousand, a 1 percent increase. Due to the decoupling process of the EU
CAP reform and the accession of 10 new EU member states in May 2004,
Austria faces significant uncertainties in the livestock sector during
the next couple of years. However, cautious forecasts do not foresee
major changes in this sector.
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AU4022 | View the Acrobat version
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http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200408/146107341.pdf


Sep 7 2004 | China, Peoples Republic of | Annual
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Highlight: Since December 25, 2003, China has banned imported US beef
and products due to the single BSE case in the United States.
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CH4042 | View the Acrobat version


http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200409/146107415.pdf


Sep 20 2004 | Korea, Republic of | Revised PS&D for Meat, Beef and Veal
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Highlight: This is a revision to KS4048. PS&D for Meat, Beef and Veal
has been revised to reflect changes in conversion factor of bone-in beef
imports.
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KS4050 | View the Acrobat version
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http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200409/146107533.pdf
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Sep 9 2004 | Korea, Republic of | Annual
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Highlight: U.S. and Canadian beef have been banned from Korea since BSE
cases were detected in each country. Beef and poultry consumption in
Korea has been undermined in recent months by consumer food safety
concerns. Accordingly, consumers have shifted to more pork and fish
consumption. The Korean pork industry and pork importers are positioned
to prosper from the current situation. Korean pork imports in 2004 and
2005 are expected to exceed 2003 levels by roughly 50,000 tons.
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KS4048 | View the Acrobat version
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http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200409/146107462.pdfTSS






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