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From: TSS (216-119-143-118.ipset23.wt.net)
Subject: Re: Nation's experts work to identify mystery disease (NEW STRAIN TSE?)
Date: August 19, 2004 at 1:25 pm PST

In Reply to: Re: Nation's experts work to identify mystery disease (NEW STRAIN TSE?) posted by TSS on August 18, 2004 at 7:15 am:


-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Re: [CJDVoice] Re: Nation's experts work to identify mystery disease
Date: Thu, 19 Aug 2004 13:41:13 -0500
From: "Terry S. Singeltary Sr."
Reply-To: Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy
To: BSE-L@UNI-KARLSRUHE.DE
References: <41236262.4070809@wt.net> <412365F9.5090700@wt.net>


######## Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy #########

greetings,

that seattle times article was most unclear. was there prion deposits
detected by antibody or not? genetics done? what was unusual about ihc? in
my opinion gambetti is on very thin ice offering risk reassurances about a
new strain type. esp for surgical tools used brain to brain.


>>previously expected that this would rise to as many as 3,800. This
>>estimate was derived from examinations of appendix and tonsil tissues
>>removed from 12,674 people during routine surgery, of which three were
>>found to contain abnormal prion proteins. However, this estimate assumed
>>that only those with the less common set of markers were susceptible.
>
>

Indeed, this case would have been missed not only for its met/val at 129
but also because appendix and tonsil were negative. So 40% are met met,
because 2.5 x 40% = 100%, need to consider 2.5 x 3800= 9500, then perhaps
double that to allow for ones where tonsils and appendix are false
negaitves, = 19,000. and then start thinking about how many of these 19,000
have given blood etc.

>>besides prion markers. The research indicates that there are at least
>>seven genes affecting the susceptibility of mice, and Collinge said that
>>it would be ěpretty surprisingî if it were not also the case in humans.
>
>

right. in other words, the early met met had other genetic risk factors
that made them early onset. so there will be more met met later. but not
in the USA if the CDC/NIH et al have anything to do with it, kinda like
the mad cow in TEXAS that was rendered to cover-up after testing was
refused.

TSS


Terry S. Singeltary Sr. wrote:

snip...end




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